Lodi Eye

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The Beef Crunch: California, San Joaquin County & the Global Cattle Squeeze
San Joaquin County Don Bradford San Joaquin County Don Bradford

The Beef Crunch: California, San Joaquin County & the Global Cattle Squeeze

The U.S. cattle herd is at a 75-year low. Retail beef hit record prices in May 2026. New World Screwworm arrived on U.S. soil for the first time since the 1960s. Mexico has kept its border closed to U.S. live cattle imports for over a year. A historic drought is forcing Central Valley ranchers to liquidate breeding females at the worst moment in the price cycle. This report ties together what all of it means for San Joaquin County producers, California agriculture, the national supply chain, and the import market now filling the gap.

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The Screwworm Returns: A Flesh-Eating Threat to Cattle Country, in Perspective
Agriculture Don Bradford Agriculture Don Bradford

The Screwworm Returns: A Flesh-Eating Threat to Cattle Country, in Perspective

On June 3, 2026, the U.S. Department of Agriculture confirmed a parasite in a three-week-old calf in South Texas that the country had not seen in its livestock since 1966. The New World screwworm — a fly whose larvae eat the living flesh of warm-blooded animals — was back. Within a week, the count had grown to six animals across two states, and a problem that an earlier generation of scientists had declared solved was suddenly a national-security talking point in Washington.

For all the alarm, the situation rewards a clear head. This is a serious threat to a $113 billion cattle industry, but it is not a threat to the food on anyone's plate. It is a story with a remarkable history of American scientific success, a present-tense scramble to repeat that success, and a set of hard questions about whether the agencies tasked with the job are staffed and funded to do it. Here is the screwworm in perspective — and what it could mean for California cattle country, including San Joaquin County.

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